Gold extends pullback from all-time high towards sub-$2,400 zoneGold price remains pressured for the third consecutive day while extending the mid-week pullback from an all-time high. In doing so, the spot gold price (XAUUSD) retreats from a three-month-old ascending resistance line backed by the RSI’s U-turn from overbought territory. Apart from that, the US Dollar’s corrective bounce and receding bullish bias of the MACD signals also underpin odds favoring the bullion’s further profit booking. The same highlights a convergence of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a three-week-long rising trend line, close to $2,395. It’s worth mentioning that the $2,400 threshold acts as immediate support while multiple peaks and troughs can challenge the sellers near $2,360 and $2,330-35. Above all, the precious metal bears remain off the table unless witnessing a daily closing beneath an ascending support line from early April, close to $2,300 by the press time. Also acting as the downside filter is the 100-EMA level of $2,296, a break of which will welcome bears with open arms.
On the contrary, Gold buyers seek a clear upside break of the three-month-old horizontal support-turned-resistance surrounding $2,431-34 to retake control. Following that, the precious metal’s run-up toward May’s peak of $2,450 and then to the recent swing high near $2,484 can’t be ruled out. However, the RSI conditions and the aforementioned multi-day-old resistance line, at $2,486 as we write, might challenge the XAUUSD bulls past $2,484. Following that, the bullion will be able to pierce the $2,500 round figure.
To sum up, further decline in the Gold price appears certain but the bullish trend is less likely to reverse.
[b]forex
NASDAQ100US100 has shows us a will go down, this may a reversal from HH. we may see more sell offs right after the rectracement, our entries will be snipers entries or nothing, remember we have patience and we are wait for our time to come. All trades must be taken after retracement. Use proper risk management, Lets Download Success .
Impending Golden Cross keeps EURUSD bulls hopeful ahead of ECBEURUSD retreats from the highest level in four months as traders await monetary policy announcements from the European Central Bank (ECB) early Thursday. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the overbought RSI conditions. However, a successful break of a descending resistance line stretched from early January, now immediate support near 1.0890, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful. Even if the quote drops beneath 1.0890 resistance-turned-support, a convergence of the 50-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.0810-05, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears. It’s worth mentioning that the 50-SMA is approaching the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover called “Golden Cross”, which in turn suggests further upside of the major currency pair.
Meanwhile, EURUSD bulls can aim for the 1.0980-1.1010 resistance zone during a fresh upside. Following that, 1.1040 and the 1.1100 threshold may act as intermediate halts while directing buyers toward the late 2023 peak of 1.1140. In a case where the Euro pair remains firmer past 1.1140, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the previous yearly high of 1.1275 and then to the year 2022 top surrounding 1.1495 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD remains in the upward trajectory despite the pre-ECB pullback. However, the upside room appears limited unless the quote offers a daily closing beyond 1.1010. It should be observed that the ECB is likely to keep the monetary policy unchanged but bears are waiting for the signals of further rate cuts in 2024.
XAUUSD 1H ANALYSIS (TRADE SETUP)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD - 1H ANALYSIS
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD 1-Hour Analysis: Bullish Outlook
but Following Counter-Trend Trade
Chart Overview:
This FOREXCOM:XAUUSD 1-hour chart analysis highlights a bearish outlook following the break of a significant consolidation zone and a series of 1H High (HH) and 1H Low (HL).
***Key Points***
1. create Liquidity:
The chart making create liqudity with falling slowly
2. Lower Highs and Lower Lows in 5m :
Following the consolidation, the price action formed a series of Lower highs (LH) and Lower lows (LL), indicating a temporary Downtrend for Built Liquidity
3.Trend Line and Break:
A Falling trend line, shown in grey, connects the Lowe lows (LL). The recent price action broke below this trend line, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish untill reach our Order-block.
4. Suppy and Demand Levels:
Supply Level : The Supply area around 2387.5 and 2389.7, is highlighted with a Red shaded zone. This level is expected to Short side Trade as a counter-trend trade.
Demand Level : The next significant Demand level is marked around 2357.9, indicated by another Green shaded zone.
5. Price Projection:
The analysis suggests a bearish as a retracement and Bullish as a Pro-Trend
6. Market Sentiment:
The sentiment is Bullish following the 1D Bullish Candle, with expectations of further downside
Retracement movement.
****Trading Plan****
Look for shorting opportunities on retracements towards the Supply zone around 2387.5 and 2389.7
Consider placing stop-losses just above the Supply zone to manage risk.
Target the Order-Flow level around 2362.61 for take-profits.
This analysis suggests a Short-Term bearish outlook for
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , with a potential shorting opportunity on 50% retracementsof the Structure. Traders should ensure proper risk management and stay updated with any external economic factors that may influence the price
movement.
US OIL SHORTFX:USOILSPOT
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
17th JULY GOLD PREDICTIONGold created BOS from time frames D, H4, H1
The current plan is to only BUY according to the protrend until the uptrend breaks.
SELL counter should wait for a clear setup like CHoCH + BoS in low time frame
Everyone don't be FOMO and SELL at this time !!!
BUY XAUUSD 2439-2434
TP 2462
SL 2427
USDJPY extends recovery from key supports, US Retail Sales eyedUSDJPY rises the most among the G10 currency pairs early Tuesday while stretching the previous day’s recovery from an upward-sloping support line from late December 2023 and the 50-SMA. Adding strength to the Yen pair’s rebound is the improvement in the RSI (14) line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the 21-SMA hurdle, currently around 160.00, challenge the bulls ahead of the US Retail Sales for June. Apart from the short-term Simple Moving Average (SMA), an 11-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 160.30 will also tame the pair’s further upside. It’s worth mentioning that multiple tops marked since the start of July and ascending trend line from late April, respectively near 161.80 and 162.35, act as the final defense of the pair sellers.
Meanwhile, 50-SMA and the aforementioned ascending trend line from late December 2023, close to 157.90 and 157.60 in that order, put a floor under the USDJPY pair for a short term. In a case where the Yen pair closes beneath 157.60, it becomes vulnerable to test the previous monthly low of around 154.50. However, May’s low of 151.85 and early 2024 peak surrounding 150.80, quickly followed by the 150.00 threshold, will challenge the sellers afterward.
To sum up, USDJPY remains in a bullish trend ahead of the key US data but the upside room appears limited.
ANALYSIS UPDATEInteresting week ahead of us, many analyses played out already and some unfortunately not. However it is still only Tuesday, just wanted to post a video to get through the charts with you and share my thoughts.
Have a good day ahead and trading week, will update you at the end of the week and in the mean time I will be monitoring the positions.
T
EURJPY continuationAs you can see, we had two possible scenarios on EurJpy, either for a price to follow the trend - a continuation or break of the low and possible shift in direction of the market which can happen any time as a price is trading very high (recorded in previous video) Price made a nice and weak recovery - pull to the downside on the market open in asian seson - towards our marked buy zone. From there it just pushed back up and with high being taken out we can see that as first market objective completed. Curently we are in an up trend so we will still be monitoring price once it taps buy zone and look for buys or if we get a break of the previous low - look for sells - if. I do not trade that pair a lot so if I don't like it I will stay away.
PREVIOUS WEEK UPDATE!A nice week behind me. I just went through the charts and explained very quickly what had happened. I got into 3 positions, 1L, 1BE and 1 currently in a profit ( EURAUD). I had some time for myself and my family as it was just my birthday. New analysis will be posted soon. Have a great week. T
USDJPY rebounds from 157.80-75 support confluence, US data eyedUSDJPY pares the biggest daily loss in 10 weeks early Friday as traders await more clues for easing price pressure in the US, namely preliminary readings of the University of Michigan’s (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) and Consumer Inflation Expectations for July. It should be noted that a one-year low of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) drowned the Yen pair the previous day while mixed Japan statistics and the market’s consolidation favored the quote’s latest recovery. That said, a convergence of the 50-SMA and bottom line of a 2.5-month-old rising wedge bearish chart formation, around 157.80-75, recently triggered the pair’s rebound as RSI took a U-turn from the below-50 zone. However, bearish MACD signals could join the 160.20-30 region comprising highs and lows marked since April to challenge the bulls before directing them to the fresh high since 1986, which in turn highlights the aforementioned wedge’s top line surrounding 162.25.
On the flip side, the USDJPY pair’s inability to defend the latest rebound will shift focus back to the 157.80-75 key support. Following that, an upward-sloping trend line support from late December 2023, close to 157.30 at the latest, will be the last defense of the buyers. In a case where the Yen pair remains bearish past 157.30, its subsequent fall to the previous monthly low near 154.50 and then to May’s bottom surrounding 151.85 can’t be ruled out. That said, the 150.00 psychological magnet will be the final post for the sellers to conquer ahead of gaining the throne.
To sum up, USDJPY remains in a bullish trajectory despite the previous day’s heavy fall. The downside move needs validation from 157.30 and the US/Japan fundamentals.
GOLD - Price Observation & OverviewMonthly Time Frame:
Weekly Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. Inside candle formation on monthly.
2. Trading at crucial levels, either side move is possible.
3. Hourly candle closing above 2390 for long position planning and bearish view only after breaking of demand zone.
Trade Plan:
1. Need to observe the price behaviour for the coming days to get better clarity.
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
EURUSD bulls stay hopeful ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s TestimonyEURUSD remains well-set on the buyer’s radar, despite snapping a four-day uptrend, as markets await Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s bi-annual Testimony. That said, the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals join the quote’s successful trading beyond a convergence of 100-SMA and 200-SMA to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a month-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 1.0840-50 guards the Euro pair’s immediate upside. Following that, descending trend lines from early March and January, respectively near 1.0875 and 1.0895, quickly followed by the 1.0900 threshold, will precede the previous monthly top of 1.0916 to challenge the pair’s further advances. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0916, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the 1.1000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, the aforementioned key SMAs will join the 50% Fibonacci ratio of the EURUSD pair’s October-December 2023 upside to highlight 1.0800-1.0790 as the key support to watch during the quote’s fresh fall. Should the bears manage to conquer the stated support, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward 1.0750 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.0710 can’t be ruled out. However, an upward-sloping support line from late 2023, close to 1.0680 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the Euro bears afterward.
To sum up, the EURUSD remains in the upward trajectory despite the week-start pullback. Hence, Fed Chair Powell’s attempt to revive the US Dollar's strength, by providing hawkish clues and/or ruling out economic woes, needs to be taken with a pinch of salt.
Euro Declines Amid French Election UncertaintyThe euro experienced a slight decline of approximately -0.07% today as market participants anticipate a potential legislative deadlock following the French parliamentary elections.
The euro is currently trading below the 34-day moving average (MA), indicating a short-term downtrend, and is also trading below the 89-day MA, suggesting that the long-term downtrend is being reinforced.
The euro may continue to face pressure if the political situation in France shows no signs of improvement. I personally believe that uncertainty will persist at least until the election results are clearly determined.
Do you have any other predictions?
GBPUSDAs posted in the latest video I recorded, I have been waiting for price to come into that sell zone, it just came in and started dropping from it. If we go now on 15min (right picture ) , we can see also that flip happened. Ideally would be to see a nice pull to the downside and then price retracing back into the London session or NY. And as Tuesday is tomorrow, we can expect to see the High/Low of the week on many pairs.
Note: Identifying weekly Highs, Lows can help you decide what positions to hold onto.
EURCHFLooking very interesting. How I see is after longer period of price consolidating it has finally dropped and that showed us that sellers are willing to step into the market. The only thing I do not like is a pullback into the sell zone so we have to look at the smaller timeframes for confirming our bias. As you know for me that is 15min. Maybe tomorrow in the London session we can se a real movement as now it is to late to enter the position - spreads can get very high in later ours due to lack of volume present, brokers, etc... But a very valid set up. If you look at the volume you will also see how much of a bearish volume is present. Let's see what will happen. Trade well,
T
AUDCADHello traders, let's look at AUDCAD - a beautiful trade that has taken place. Simply explained - on 4H we are still in an uptrend and that means that a pullback from the high that has been made, should follow. Knowing that we can look for sell to buy set ups, with a lower risk of course. If we drop on the lower time frame, we can see the structure flip on 15 min, very high in the market. As I know my HTF bias is bullish - looking at a price, I expect, or better said - my task for a price is to come down to the first buy zone at least, while already being in a sell position. And down there, either the demand for a price will bring buyers back into the market, or the price will drop lower. What I would ideally like to see next is break of 0.91850 .
A side note: As this is a counter trend trade, or reversal trade, risk is lower.
Trade well, T
Gold Continues to Trend UpwardsGold ended Friday's trading session on a positive note following the release of key economic data from the Non-Farm Payroll report, which indicated weak data for the USD, gold prices surged immediately after breaking through the 236x resistance zone.
Observing the H4 chart, we can clearly see the upward trend in gold prices. There is a notable double bottom pattern, targeting the 2,40x level. However, achieving this target will require support from sellers to push the price up to that range.
The uptrend is expected to continue this week, but we should wait for a slight pullback for a retest before the price makes a strong upward move.
Gold holds high around peakGold costs are predicted to growth due to the fact hobby prices will decrease and the USD will weaken. Gold costs are trying out degrees above 2,four hundred USD/ounce. Indicators display that gold costs have an upward trend.
Gold costs are predicted to preserve to growth withinside the close to future. Gold rate for August shipping is coming near 2,four hundred USD/ounce.
World gold rate opened at the start of the week at 2,326.seventy two USD/ounce, preserving withinside the variety of 15 USD on Monday and Tuesday sessions. On Wednesday, a chain of monetary records announced, global gold rate elevated to 2,363.77
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) remains the point of interest of interest. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified with the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee.
The marketplace may also pay near interest to americaA CPI in June, weekly unemployment claims, and the University of Michigan`s initial survey of patron sentiment.
It is expected that XAU price will continue to increase in the fThe market will also pay close attention to US CPI in June
This morning, world gold prices are still trading around the high mark of last week's session.
The world gold market will likely be more exciting this week
Currently, optimism is covering the gold market, as recent data shows cracks in the US economy, a weakening US labor market and falling inflation.
The market is expected to increase due to expectations of interest rate cuts
According to analysts, gold prices have traded between $2,285-2,448 per ounce since early April, which has created firmer support and resistance levels.